Tuesday, December 30, 2008

Inflation Tsunami

The undersea earthquake may well be occuring but the wave is still very far from shore and no more than a bump in a far away ocean...but it is coming.

It is an unavoidable cliche that governments' solutions are inevitably worse that the original problems that they seek to fix. The link to the above article from John Kemp is another warning of the severely inflation consequences of current government monetary policy. This is a phenomenon not just confined to the US, but ultimately the US is the epicentre of current world economic events along with their co-dependant partner China.

If the US can manage inflation in the low teens for half a decade they may pull this off. This is dependant on whether the US dollar holds up or drops to 20% to 40% of its current value. More likely we will see a low US dollar, high inflation and high interest rates within 2-4 years.

but for now ..... Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year to all.

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home

Google